Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000430 0.000479 0.000533 0.000597 0.000672 0.000758 0.000863
2024-12-22 0.000350 0.000415 0.000492 0.000594 0.000727 0.000896 0.001134
2024-12-29 0.000304 0.000377 0.000470 0.000601 0.000785 0.001044 0.001452
2025-01-05 0.000274 0.000352 0.000456 0.000611 0.000845 0.001203 0.001830
2025-01-12 0.000246 0.000323 0.000431 0.000599 0.000869 0.001310 0.002158
2025-01-19 0.000231 0.000311 0.000428 0.000618 0.000939 0.001507 0.002716
2025-01-26 0.000208 0.000285 0.000400 0.000592 0.000932 0.001564 0.003019
2025-02-02 0.000195 0.000273 0.000391 0.000596 0.000975 0.001726 0.003625
2025-02-09 0.000187 0.000266 0.000390 0.000613 0.001044 0.001957 0.004523
2025-02-16 0.000179 0.000259 0.000387 0.000625 0.001107 0.002196 0.005603
2025-02-23 0.000174 0.000256 0.000390 0.000648 0.001196 0.002524 0.007224
2025-03-02 0.000167 0.000248 0.000384 0.000654 0.001250 0.002783 0.008855
2025-03-09 0.000155 0.000234 0.000368 0.000638 0.001254 0.002926 0.010245
2025-03-16 0.000148 0.000225 0.000360 0.000639 0.001302 0.003224 0.012843
2025-03-23 0.000142 0.000219 0.000355 0.000647 0.001370 0.003618 0.016771
2025-03-30 0.000137 0.000214 0.000353 0.000658 0.001448 0.004097 0.022589
2025-04-06 0.000129 0.000204 0.000340 0.000645 0.001461 0.004344 0.027402
2025-04-13 0.000126 0.000201 0.000342 0.000666 0.001572 0.005061 0.040381
2025-04-20 0.000118 0.000190 0.000324 0.000638 0.001532 0.005100 0.045237
2025-04-27 0.000114 0.000185 0.000320 0.000642 0.001595 0.005672 0.063041
2025-05-04 0.000112 0.000183 0.000322 0.000660 0.001707 0.006602 0.101201
2025-05-11 0.000109 0.000180 0.000321 0.000674 0.001812 0.007609 0.168053
2025-05-18 0.000108 0.000180 0.000325 0.000699 0.001966 0.009133 0.345144